LCI Monthly - What Shaped April 2025
President Trump’s sweeping tariffs and public attacks on the Federal Reserve rattled markets and global allies in April 2025. His increasingly autocratic rhetoric added to geopolitical unease. Tesla reported a sharp earnings slump, hit by reputational backlash tied to Musk’s political ties. Meanwhile, U.S. consumer confidence dropped to a 13-year low, reflecting growing economic and political uncertainty.
Prosperity Has a Foundation – and It's Beginning to Crumble
As democracy, rule of law, and open markets come under pressure—even in long-trusted economies like the U.S.—investors must rethink geographic diversification. Institutional resilience, not short-term data, is the true driver of sustainable returns. In a world of rising political risk, long-term capital should flow to countries where the foundational pillars of prosperity remain strong and intact.
OECD Economic Outlook – March 2025
Global growth held steady at 3.2% in 2024, but recent indicators show signs of weakening. Inflation remains persistent, sentiment is softening, and policy uncertainty is high. Risks include tighter monetary policy and financial market disruptions. A key concern is rising global fragmentation—though a reversal in tariffs could boost growth. The outlook is increasingly fragile and dependent on policy direction.
Trump ist Nero, während Washington brennt
Der französische Senator Claude Malhuret warnt eindringlich vor dem Rückzug der USA von der Weltbühne. Er vergleicht Trump mit Nero, während die Pfeiler der Demokratie brennen, und ruft die Europäer auf, moralisch und militärisch aufzurüsten, die Ukraine zu unterstützen und die demokratischen Werte zu verteidigen.
US Stock Markets Under Pressure: Concerns Over Economic Slowdown Under Trump
Investor optimism following Trump’s re-election has faded amid rising fears of an economic slowdown. Markets tumbled, with the S&P 500 down 3% and Tesla plunging 15%. Slowing demand, political turmoil, and recession warnings weigh heavily. Bond yields have dropped, and key indicators point to weakening growth. Trump now frames the downturn as a “transition period”—but confidence is slipping fast.
LCI Strategic Asset Allocation: Reduction of US Investments
Trump’s destabilizing actions have shaken global trust in the U.S., prompting La Côte Invest to act. Amid rising geopolitical risk and growing domestic polarization, we’ve halved our U.S. equity weighting relative to market capitalization and introduced a 10% gold allocation. These strategic shifts reflect our commitment to protecting long-term client stability in an increasingly uncertain global environment.
U.S. to Implement New Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China: A Risky Strategy?
The U.S. will impose new tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China—raising serious economic and strategic concerns. Despite justifications tied to trade deficits, migration, and the fentanyl crisis, critics warn of supply chain disruptions, rising consumer costs, and diplomatic fallout. La Côte Invest views the move as economically risky, potentially undermining key trade relationships and further destabilizing global market confidence.
Doubts About China’s Economic Data
The Chinese government reported 5% economic growth for 2024, aligning with the target set by the National People’s Congress. According to official statements, this was mainly driven by stimulus measures in the final quarter and strong exports. However, experts like the economists at the Rhodium Group estimate actual growth for 2024 at only 2.4% to 2.8%.
OECD Economic Outlook – Decembre 2024
Our central scenario in the Economic Outlook portrays a picture of resilience. However, this optimism is tempered by significant uncertainties. Elevated geopolitical tensions risk disrupting energy markets and supply chains, potentially driving inflation higher and dampening economic activity. More broadly, these tensions have created headwinds for trade in both advanced and emerging markets, heightening uncertainty over the future course of global trade. A more fragmented, protectionist trading environment and inward-looking policies would negatively affect competition, raise prices, and hinder productivity and growth, while also weighing on the potential for emerging market economies to catch up.
ESG – Für immer verschwunden
Einst Symbol eines verantwortungsvollen Kapitalismus, verschwindet ESG in den USA. Politisierung, Greenwashing und nachlassendes Anlegerinteresse haben das Konzept entleert. Während die Aufsicht zurückweicht und der wirtschaftliche Nationalismus zunimmt, scheint der Traum eines nachhaltigen Kapitalismus endgültig vorbei.
Why Active Funds Fail and How La Côte Invest Ensures Success
Over 80% of active funds have underperformed their benchmarks over the past decade, according to SPIVA data. At La Côte Invest, we focus on what truly drives long-term success: a sound, cost-efficient strategy tailored to each client. By relying primarily on passive instruments and only taking active positions when conviction is high, we ensure consistency, transparency, and performance.
OECD Economic Outlook: Interim Report September 2024
The OECD’s September 2024 Interim Report shows resilient global growth and declining inflation. High-frequency data point to continued momentum, with services outpacing manufacturing. While consumer confidence remains below historical averages, signs of improvement are emerging in Europe and key emerging markets. Headline inflation has eased across most G20 countries, supporting a cautiously optimistic outlook for the global economy.